BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 135 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend we’ve got a 13-fight card after that long 3-week break. I am excited to have UFC back and I am ready to win some money on Saturday. The card will take place in Lincoln, Nebraska and there are no fighters creating their UFC debut so it’s always nice when you’re already familiar with all the fighters on the card. Since this is a Fight Night card, the DraftKings contests are not the greatest, but there’s still a great deal of money to be obtained. I’ll personally be chasing the large $15k top prize in the $8 GPP in addition to the $5 & $10 Qualifiers. Most of my investment will be in money games, largely H2Hs, but I will be taking numerous shots at these huge prizes. Here are a Couple of plays I like this week in Addition to my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Stack (James Vick $8,600 AND Justin Gaethje $7,600)
This is the way I will be starting my cash lineup. I can put in Vick and Gaethje then figure out the rest from there. Any fight Gaethje is in is filled with action and his three UFC battles have been Fight Of The Year kind fights. Those types of fights are fantastic for DraftKings. Especially cash games because we can lock in a win and get all the points in the very best battle on the card. Normally 4 wins will get the business done in cash games and we will get over 100 points on this battle. So, with that win locked in, we simply need to find 3 others we feel great about.
GPP play of the week — Bryan Barberena ($9,500)
It’s tough to want to pay $9.5k for a guy like Barberena when you can just pay an additional $200 to find a -1000 favorite in Anders. But, I think that is what most people will do and that’s what makes Barberena a fantastic GPP play. I think we’ll get him in a marginally lower possession due to his large salary, and he’s got a very good shot at obtaining a 1st round triumph. If he can get a 1st round KO then he’ll have 100 points so he’ll pay off that high salary. If you believe Ellenberger is completely faded, then I think you should find some Barberena on your lineups. His ITD lineup is -170 and Ellenberger resembles he is a shell of his old self. I believe Barberena does pick up an end in this fight so that I will throw him some GPPs and hope he’s beneath owned.
Underdog drama of the week — Andre Fili ($7,500)
This is just the effortless worth play of this week. Currently, Fili is the gambling popular at -115 over Michael Johnson in +105. But, MJ is $8.7k on DraftKings and Fili is just $7.5k. I love taking that value when it is available so that I think he’s in play in most formats. He will be popular in tournaments together with the value we are getting on himbut I am willing to eat that chalk and I do not want to get burnt by completely fading that value. I do think this is the toughest struggle on the card to phone, but if Fili keeps with his wrestling I presume he will have a good shot at winning this fight. If the fight stays standing for 15-minutes, I’d prefer MJ although not by a good deal. At $7.5k we don’t need a huge score from Fili so any win will probably do the trick. I am not going to pass on this respect and I think he’s the simple underdog of the week on DK.
Fade of this week — Drew Dober ($8,900)
This may just be my own personal bias but I am not going to have Drew Dober in some of my primary ~20 GPP lineups. Nor will I have him in my money lineup. Dober has only went for takedowns in 1 of his UFC fights so he is mainly just seeking to strike. I think that this will be a remarkable battle also and I think it will be nearer than the odds signal. At $8.9k I think we will require a finish from him to wind up on the winning GPP lineup and I really don’t see that occurring. If you do think Dober can find a KO, then you should be enjoying him. I’ll only be paying up elsewhere because I’m not sure he could get that complete and that I wouldn’t be amazed if he even lost the struggle. I will say that I never look to use Dober in DraftKings, so I could get burnt again but I am going to stick with my Dober fade and he will be my fade of the week to get UFC Lincoln.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on every struggle, my private approaches & suggestions, and also my selection outlook for every fight then it is possible to discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:

https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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