Who will be the favourites and underdogs for every class in the Oscars this year? Read on for our gambling tips and predictions for this year’s ceremony.
The nominations are in and the brief lists are revealed for the 91st Annual Awards — or because they’re more affectionally known — The Oscars. About Sunday 24th February 2019, Hollywood’s greatest stars, new and old, will fulfill the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles to find out who will walk away with a coveted Academy Award and (more significantly ) to watch whatever dramas, controversies, and award snubs may happen.
The 2019 nominations came with some raised eyebrows and plenty of cheering in the rafters. Roma and The Favorite guide the way with 10 nominations apiece with A Star Is Born and Vice both procuring 8. The greatest surprise is Black Panther bagging a total of 7 nods, including one for Best Picture, which makes it the first superhero film to ever be nominated for the highest award.
But today everyone’s focus turns to the ceremony itself, who the ultimate winners will be and where cash can be made by correctly calling the results. Who is a sure thing and where would be the very best chances of an upset? Here I take you who will win, that should win and who is a dark horse at all the major 6 categories, so you’ve got the best suggestions on where to put your money.
Best Picture
“Black Panther”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“The Favourite”
“Green Book”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Vice”
The largest award of the night isn’t a stranger to controversies; The La La Land/Moonlight mix up of 2017 and Shakespeare In Love winning over Saving Private Ryan in 1999 spring into mind. So, to ever assume that this category is a lock is a fool’s game. With that being said, last year’s winner for Best Picture and director – The Shape Of Water and Guillermo Del Toro respectively – were roughly as easy to predict as you will see. It’s but one of the things that we love about the Oscars and the Best Picture race in particular — it’s either a boring, easy-to-call affair or an outrageous controversy… the challenge is, you will never know which one you will find each year!
This year’s front runner is Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma. Virtually everything about it screams’triumph': it is a black and white foreign language film with no scoretakes, shot beautifully and directed by a prior Best Director winner in Cuaron. The only red flag is that it is a Netflix film. Roma is your first Netflix movie to be nominated for Best Picture and because of this no one really knows what effect that is going to have on its own chances of winning. Personally, I don’t believe being a Netflix movie will hurt it at all, I really think it could help it as the film has been much more accessible to audiences that any of its competitors. But the fact of the matter is, nobody actually knows and only time will tell.
Hot on the heels of Roma are Green Book, The Favourite, and A Star Is Born. Of those 3, The Favourite is, well… the favourite to steal the prize. Ahead of nominations, Green Book would have been right up there. But with the news that Green Book’s director Peter Farrelly and A Star Is Born director, Bradley Cooper equally failed to procure Best Director nominations, this has undoubtably hurt both movies chances of winning Best Picture. I think Green Book has a chance of creating a late rise to the surface but as it currently stands, Roma is the one to beat.
As great as BlacKKKlansman and Bohemian Rhapsody were as movies, their Best Picture nominations are credit enough and I can’t see either movie hard for the win here. The exact same goes for Vice; even though grabbing 8 nominations, the film has had mixed critics reviews and I can’t see the Academy rewarding a movie about Dick Cheney with its highest award of the evening.
Now, let’s talk about Black Panther; though the movie has a total of 7 nominations, none of these are for acting, directing or screenplay without a super hero film has been nominated for Best Picture, let alone won it. So, there is no way it could win, right? Realistically, no. But in Hollywood anything can happen and Dark Panther winning the top prize might be the second step in the evolution of cinema and the Academy Awards.
Black Panther is composed, directed and largely created by black filmmakers and in a year in which the movie industry was forced to take a long hard look at itself, a celebration of diversity in Hollywood isn’t only long overdue, but could well be a substantial focus of the 2019 ceremony.
Think about this also; Black Panther grossed around $1 Million worldwide. Yes, it is an action-packed, CGI adventure, but there’s so much more to it than that. Just like many preceding Best Picture nominees and winners, Black Panther tackles a multitude of timely and pertinent questions about race and bias. The more I think about it, the more I believe, it actually could happen!

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