Who will be the favourites and underdogs for every category at the Oscars this year? Read on for our betting tips and forecasts for this year’s ceremony.
The nominations are in and also the short lists are revealed for the 91st Annual Awards — or as they are more affectionally known — The Oscars. About Sunday 24th February 2019, Hollywood’s greatest stars, old and new, will fill the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles to see who will walk away with a coveted Academy Award and (more importantly) to watch whatever dramas, controversies, and award snubs may happen.
The 2019 nominations came with some raised eyebrows and plenty of cheering from the rafters. Roma and The Favourite lead the way with 10 nominations apiece with A Star Is Born and Vice both securing 8. The greatest surprise is Black Panther bagging a total of 7 nods, including one for Best Picture, which makes it the very first superhero film to be nominated for its maximum award.
But today everyone’s focus turns to the service itself, who the eventual winners would be and where money can be drawn up by correctly predicting the outcomes. Who’s a certain thing and where are the very best chances of an upset? Here I take you through who will win, that should win and who’s a dark horse at most of the important 6 categories, so you’ve got the best tips on where to place your money.
Best Picture
“Black Panther”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“The Favourite”
“Green Book”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Vice”
The largest award of the night is no stranger to controversies; The La La Land/Moonlight mix up of 2017 and Shakespeare In Love winning over Saving Private Ryan in 1999 spring to mind. So, to assume this category is a lock is a fool’s game. With that said, last year’s winner for Best Picture and manager – The Shape Of Water and Guillermo Del Toro respectively – were roughly as easy to predict as you’ll see. It is but one of the things that we love about the Oscars and the Best Picture race specifically — it is either a dull, easy-to-call affair or a ridiculous controversy… the problem is, you never know which one you are going to find each year!
This year’s front runner is Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma. Almost everything about it screams’triumph': it’s a black and white foreign language film with no scoretakes, shot superbly and directed by a prior Best Director winner in Cuaron. The only red flag is it is a Netflix movie. Roma is the first Netflix film to be nominated for Best Picture and because of this no one quite knows what impact that is going to have on its own chances of winning. Personally, I don’t think being a Netflix movie will hurt it at all, I really think it could help it since the film has been much more accessible to crowds that some of its competitors. But the fact of the matter is, nobody really knows and only time will tell.
Hot on the heels of Roma are Green Book, The Favourite, and A Star Is Born. Of those 3, The Favourite is, well… the favourite to steal the prize. Prior to nominations, Green Book would have been right up there. However, with the news that Green Book’s director Peter Farrelly and A Star Is Born manager, Bradley Cooper equally failed to procure Best Director nominations, this has undoubtably hurt both movies chances of winning Best Picture. I still think Green Book has a chance of creating a late climb to the surface but as it now stands, Roma is certainly the one to conquer.
As great as BlacKKKlansman and Bohemian Rhapsody were movies, their Best Picture nominations are credit enough and I can not see either movie hard for the win . The exact same goes to Vice; even though catching 8 nominations, the movie has had mixed critics testimonials and I can not see the Academy rewarding a movie about Dick Cheney with its highest award of the night.
Now, let’s discuss Black Panther; although the movie has a total of 7 nominations, none of these are for acting, screenplay or directing without a super hero movie has been nominated for Best Picture, let alone won it. So, there is absolutely no way it could win, right? Practically, no. However, in Hollywood anything can happen and Dark Panther winning the top prize might be the second step in the evolution of cinema and the Academy Awards.
Black Panther is composed, directed and largely made by black filmmakers and at a year where the movie industry has been forced to take a long hard look at itself, a celebration of diversity in Hollywood isn’t only long overdue, but may well be a significant focus of this 2019 ceremony.
Think about this also; Dark Panther grossed over $1 Billion worldwide. Yes, it’s an action-packed, CGI adventure, but there’s so much more to it than that. The same as many previous Best Picture nominees and winners, Black Panther tackles a host of timely and pertinent questions about race and bias. The more I think about it, the more I think, it really could happen!

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