Who are the favourites and underdogs for each class at the Oscars this year? Read on for our gambling tips and predictions for this year’s ceremony.
The nominations are in and the brief lists have been revealed for the 91st Annual Awards — or because they’re more affectionally known — The Oscars. About Sunday 24th February 2019, Hollywood’s biggest stars, old and new, will fill the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles to see who will walk away with a coveted Academy Award and (more significantly ) to watch whatever dramas, controversies, and award snubs may occur.
The 2019 nominations came with some raised eyebrows and plenty of cheering in the rafters. Roma and The Favorite guide the way with 10 nominations apiece using A Star Is Born and Vice both procuring 8. The biggest surprise is Black Panther bagging a total of 7 nods, including one for Best Picture, making it the first superhero film to be nominated for the maximum award.
But today everyone’s attention turns to the service itself, who the eventual winners would be and where cash can be drawn up by correctly predicting the outcomes. Who is a sure thing and where would be the very best chances of an upset? Here I take you through who will win, that should win and who’s a dark horse in most of the major 6 categories, so you have the best suggestions on where to place your money.
Best Picture
“Black Panther”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“The Favourite”
“Green Book”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Vice”
The largest award of the night is no stranger to controversies; The La La Land/Moonlight mix up of 2017 and Shakespeare In Love winning over Saving Private Ryan in 1999 spring into mind. So, to ever assume this category is a lock is a fool’s game. With that being said, last year’s winner for Best Picture and manager – The form of Water and Guillermo Del Toro respectively – were roughly as easy to predict as you’ll see. It is one of those things that we love about the Oscars and the Best Picture race specifically — it is either a dull, easy-to-call affair or a ridiculous controversy… the challenge is, you never know which one you will find each year!
This year’s front runner is Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma. Almost everything about it screams’triumph': it is a black and white foreign language film with no score, long takes, shot beautifully and led by a previous Best Director winner in Cuaron. The single red flag is it is a Netflix film. Roma is the first Netflix film to be nominated for Best Picture and because of this no one quite knows what impact that is going to have on its own odds of winning. As for me, I really don’t think being a Netflix film will hurt it at all, I actually think it could help it as the movie has been far more accessible to crowds that any of its competitors. But the simple fact of the matter is, nobody actually understands and only time will tell.
Hot on the heels of Roma are Green Book, The Favourite, and A Star Is Born. Of the 3, The Favourite is, well… the favourite to steal the prize. Prior to nominations, Green Book could have been up there. However, with the news that Green Book’s director Peter Farrelly and A Star Is Born manager, Bradley Cooper equally failed to secure Best Director nominations, this has undoubtably hurt both movies chances of winning Best Picture. I think Green Book has a chance of making a late rise to the surface but as it currently stands, Roma is the one to beat.
As good as BlacKKKlansman and Bohemian Rhapsody were as movies, their Best Picture nominations are credit enough and I can not see either movie challenging for the win here. The exact same goes for Vice; despite catching 8 nominations, the movie has had blended critics reviews and I can’t see the Academy rewarding a movie about Dick Cheney with its highest award of the night.
Now, let’s talk about Black Panther; though the film has a total of 7 nominations, none of them are for acting, screenplay or directing without a super hero film has been nominated for Best Picture, let alone won it. So, there’s absolutely no way it could win, right? Practically, no. But in Hollywood anything can happen and Black Panther winning the top prize could be the next step in the evolution of cinema and the Academy Awards.
Black Panther is composed, directed and largely created by black filmmakers and in a year where the movie industry has been forced to take a long hard look at itself, a party of diversity in Hollywood is not only long overdue, but may well be a significant focus of the 2019 ceremony.
Think about this also; Dark Panther grossed around $1 Million worldwide. Yes, it is an action-packed, CGI experience, but there’s much more to it than that. The same as many previous Best Picture nominees and winners, Black Panther tackles a multitude of timely and pertinent questions about race and prejudice. The more I think about it, the more I believe, it really could happen!

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